In the present international situation there is no sign of global GHG emissions being reversed (into decline).
The only world plan on GHG emissions is
to keep them increasing, which can only leads to the collapse of agriculture civilization and an
uninhabitable planet- due to amplifying feedbacks.
Without a drastic emergency rapid reduction of global GHG emissions - the world is headed for planetary catastrophe.
We are absolutely committed (locked in) to warming of 1.5°C by 2030-2040 (IPCC AR5 WG2) and today's atmospheric GHG levels is a long term commitment to 2.0°C (IPCC AR5 WG1).
o NOAA atmospheric CO2 405 ppm Accelerating I year increase >3ppm more than previous 1 decade incrwase
o 10 Nov 2016 All of nature Climate change already dramatically disrupting all elements of natureo 2016 WMO global temperature increase 1.2C and all direct recorded indicators of atmospheric GHG pollution are accelerating.
o 14 Nov 2016 IEA Energy, Climate Change and Environment: 2016 Insights. Global emissions of energy GHGs increase 30% 2030
o 2 May 2016 UN Climate Secreatriat Update of INDCs:global emissions will be 16% higher in 2030
o 14 Nov 2016 World Bank Disasters Force 26 Million People into Poverty and Cost $520bn/ year
o August 2015 ECONOMIC EMERGENCY a report by Citibank The cost of progressing to a low carbon economy just cheaper than an ‘Inaction’ fossil fuel scenario. Climate damage costs of 1.5°C by 2100 and our heading today of 4.5°C warming scenarios are $50 trillion. Even a 2.5°C warming costs $30 trillion less than a business-as-usual high global warming scenario.o Large economy countries are keeping the world to a 2C warming target, which is certain suicidal planetary catastrophe, while the position most countries is under 1.5C for their survival- that now applies to all the world. o Food security: Climate change is already having a negative impact on most (if not all) of the worlds main agricultural regions (IPCC AR5 WG2). These trends can only increase under increasing climate change. o No climate mitigation agreement As things are (Aug 2015) there is progress for a new global climate agreement at the Dec 2015 UN Paris Climate Conference. If there is there will be will be no new measures on reducing global GHG emissions till after 2020, and if there is a new agreement then it will not be binding (only ‘voluntary’ Intended Nationally Determined Contributions).
0 The rate of global temperature increase is at least 10X higher than anything in the past 65 million years .o August 2015 combined INDCs have the world headed for a 3C (to 3.8C with carbon feedbacks) warming by 2100 (Climate Action Tracker) which is a full eventual increase of 5.25C to 6.6C after 2100. o August 2015 NOAA: the first half of 2015 records the highest global temperature rise ever, with severe heat waves, drought and wild fires. This follows 2014 the highest annual global warming ever.o May 2015 Refugees. A historic 52 million people are fleeing conflict worldwide, a trend that will intensify over the next two decades because of climate change, reports International Rescue Committee chief David Milibando All world economic and energy plans are to keep the world economy on fossil fuels and keep increasing their output. o There is no plan to impose a GHG pollution or carbon tax on large central polluters- without which nothing will change on energy.
o Global emissions of all main GHGs are increasing faster than ever see StateofOurClimte.como The international Energy Agency reports we are fixed on an emissions track to at least a 6C to 6.6C warming by 2100and new fossil fuel investment and construction is locking us in to high temperatures.A 2012 Price Waterhouse Cooper analysis says the same Green growth stalling in India and China, sending world towards 6C of warming.o Atmospheric GHG concentrations are all increasing- they are already increasing at a never before unprecedented rate (IPCC).
o Since 2007 atmospheric methane (86 X CO2) is increasing due to feedback emissions from the warming planet (tropical and sunarctic peatlands).
o The world economy has the world fixed on the worst case high emissions scenario that leads to a totally catastrophic global heating of 6°C by 2100, a warming that would keep increasing for many centuries and last thousands of years.
o The melting of Greenland and almost all glaciers is increasing, due to today’s global warming.
o Greenland melting is accelerating.o The danger limit to agriculture, planetary ecosystems, ice sheets and Arctic methane feedback emissions is 1°C, not 2°C (James Hansen, EU science group 2C Target 2008, World Bank 4°C report 2012) IPCC 2007).
o The Arctic temperature is increasing rapidly - warming several times faster than the rest of our planet.
o The rapid melt ( at today's warming) of the cooling Arctic summer sea ice extent has passed its ice free Arctic tipping point (2007) which will increase Arctic warming and the extreme weather with climate disruption affecting the world's best food producing regions in the N hemisphereo All Arctic sources of carbon methane (CH4) are emitting methane due to Arctic warming- i.e. subarctic wetland peat, thawing permafrost and sub sea floor frozen solid methane gas hydrate.
o Thawing Arctic permafrost is emitting CO2 and nitrous oxide (300 X CO2), as well as methane.
o 2013 research in Siberian permafrost caves show there is an irreversible permafrost thaw tipping point of 1.5C or less.
o Destabilized venting East Siberian Arctic shelf methane hydrate and subsea floor methane is a risk for planetary catastrophe.
o Arctic methane concentration has reached 1900 ppb – the 800,000 year ice core methane limit is 800 ppb
o Cooling Far North and Arctic spring-summer snow cover is receding faster.
o Extreme weather events are increasing globally an drought regionally (IPCC AR5 2014 WG2)o Extreme weather events with episodic extreme regional heat drought and flooding have affected the N hemisphere since 2000- driven to global climate change.
o Continued GHG emissions on top of our already committed (locked in warming) of several times today's warming, can only lead to added global warming from carbon feedback emissions (methane & CO2) in an amount that would devastate our planet rendering it unable to sustain agriculture and eventually uninhabitable.
o The oceans are absorbing most of the GHG emissions' and the heat is now affecting the deep ocean.
This harms coral, is leading to deep dead oceans zones, and will slow ocean currents. o. There has been a 40% drop in ocean phytoplanktono The oceans have absorbed 30% of the CO2 emissions acidifying them faster than the past 300 million years.
This harms coral and all ocean species. It becomes a carbon feedback as ocean get warmer (absorb les CO2) and shell making creatures lose this capacity.
climate change planetary emergency situation
List of reasons
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The health and human rights approach to climate change